Orlando, FL ---“One of
the things I believe, is we will see a major terrorist attack in this country
or in Europe soon, because there are certain equities that have to happen
before a certain date.”
This was Stephen Coughlin’s answer when asked,
“What do you think will happen next?” at an event hosted by ACT! for America on
October 21, 2015. ACT! for America, an
organization that “educates citizens and elected officials to help impact
national security policy,” hosted Mr.
Coughlin, an International Comparative Law expert and former member of the
Joint Chiefs of Staff Intelligence Directorate.
Mr. Coughlin presented the case for how constraints on language and
analytics are limiting the United States’ effectiveness in defeating it's enemies.
In Paris, France 31 days later, 130 people
were killed in a series of terrorist attacks conducted by the Islamic State of
Iraq and the Levant (ISIS, KAESH)
The basis for the current briefing began
when Mr. Coughlin realized “what we were saying about the nature of the threat
is wrong, and the people in the Department of Defense have a duty to know.” Mr. Coughlin explains that “they are not
responsible to know every interpretation of Islam, but there is a duty to know
the version they use to justify destroying us.” Furthermore, “there are extreme
costs associated with choosing not to know the nature of a self-declared
threat’s self-identified threat doctrine”
To demonstrate the purging of language
from intelligence strategy documents, Mr. Coughlin shows a comparison of the
9/11 Commission Report, the 2008 FBI Counterterrorism Lexicon (Bush
administration), and the National Intelligence Strategy 2009 (Obama
administration). Violent Extremism was
used 3, 29, and 9 times respectively.
Religious was used 65, 3 and 1 time respectively. Al Qa’ida was used 16, 0, and 1 time
respectively. The following words
appeared only in the 9/11 Commision Report, published July 22, 2004: Enemy
(39), Jihad(126), Muslims (145), Islam (322), Takfir (1), Muslim Brotherhood
(5), Hamas (4), Hezbollah (2), Caliph/Kaliph (7), Shari’a (2). This results in “the destruction of factual
analysis by the removal of words that define.”
Mr.
Coughlin was highly sought after for his briefings at the Pentagon. The briefings were called “the Red Pill
Briefings” as they were able to “shift the audiences understanding of the
nature of the threat in the War on Terror,” like the “Red Pill” in the movie
The Matrix. Mr. Coughlin used these
briefings to show “the relationship between the Islamic legal doctrine of
abrogation and a Muslim Brotherhood strategic doctrine based on a book called
Milestones by Muslim Brother and Islamic thinker Sayyid Qutb.”
The changing culture in the administrations
of both President Bush and President Obama, have made Mr. Coughlin’s candor
unwelcome in the national security agencies.
He says, “We are no longer a fact driven culture, we are a narrative
driven culture.”
Mr. Coughlin shares the following example
of inappropriate influence over our national security strategy. This example began with a briefing he was
giving for law enforcement in Columbus, Ohio.
NPR published an article on July 18, 2011 which said some Muslim
attendees were offended by some of the language used. One of the attendees sued Mr. Coughlin over
this briefing, but the case was dismissed when it was revealed in discovery
that the plaintiff had not attended the briefing. Mr. Coughlin shares a letter from CAIR, the
Council on American-Islamic Relations, which was sent to the CIA around the
same time. It was a letter requesting Mr. Coughlin not be allowed to give his upcoming
briefing at the CIA. The CIA cancelled
his briefing as well as the entire training program.
The Department of Homeland Security came
up with the new program called Countering Violent Extremism (CVE). Mr. Coughlin says the goal was to “realign
them with the post-modern narrative to attack people who are not politically
correct.”
Out of the 16 member CVE Working Group,
that was the committee to develop the standards, 6 were affiliated with the
Muslim Brotherhood.
Mr. Coughlin goes on to share the case
against the associates of the Muslim Brotherhood as appropriate advisors. In the
2008 Holy Land Foundation Trial, the “largest terrorism financing prosecution
in American history,” evidence showed the connections between the Muslim
Brotherhood and Hamas. Hamas is a
designated terrorist organization according to the United States and
Canada. In addition, Judge Solis, the
sentencing judge in the HLF trial, wrote a letter stating that CAIR is Hamas in
America. CAIR was listed as an
unindicted co-conspirator in the HLF trial. Mr. Coughlin’s point: “Are these
the people who should be choosing the language and procedures the United States
uses in determining a course of action in our counterterrorism efforts?”
Highlighting the two schools of thought,
Mr. Coughlin shows a video clip of a congressional hearing on homeland security
where the former Attorney General of the state of California, Daniel Lungren
asks Secretary Stockton, the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Homeland
Security, if we are at war with Violent Islamist Extremism. After many unsuccessful attempts at prodding
him to use the term Violent Islamist Extremism, Assistant Secretary Stockton
explains, “Al Qa’ida would love to convince the world that the United States is
at war with Islam. It’s a prime propaganda tool, and I’m not going to aid and
abet the effort to advance their propaganda tools.” The Attorney General Lungren says, “One of
the questions we’re trying to deal with is the radicalization of Islam, …and if
we can’t distinguish between Violent Islamist Extremism and Islam then all this
stuff about behavioral indicators doesn’t mean anything.”
Mr. Coughlin shares that this is exactly
the problem in threat analysis. To obey
the current rules of threat analytics in the CVE, analysts have to spend time
keeping the language “politically correct.” This results in wasted resources,
including time, money and brain power.
According to Mr. Coughlin, the more serious problem is that it “has led
to tragedy and real loss of life, leaving America vulnerable to those who wish to
destroy us.”
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